If you follow this blog at all, you’ll know that healthcare policy is a big interest of mine. Given that this was the focus of President Obama’s most recent address (and that this blog is my personal soapbox) I thought I’d chip in three thoughts to the blogosphere “marketplace of ideas” on the topic.
The first is that I’ve been very impressed with President Obama’s efforts. This may come as a shock to my more liberal friends who have been reading my Google Reader shares on the subject, many of which have been critical of Obama’s plans. But, as someone who was not terribly impressed with Hillary Clinton’s efforts in healthcare in the 1990s, I have been pleasantly surprised by the different strategy that Obama has taken. At least from this blogger’s perspective, Obama’s process has been much more open, allowing the plan to receive input and win support from the numerous groups which need to be won over (i.e. pharmaceutical companies, doctors and nurses, insurance companies, hospitals, etc), and much more driven by Congress rather than force-fed from the Executive Branch.
The result? In my opinion, a much more nuanced policy than what I’m used to hearing from pie-in-the-sky single-payer advocates and market fundamentalists with a promising focus on addressing access and cost concerns with a combination of regulatory/government directives and market-based methods.
The second is around the balance between using government initiatives and using private markets to solve the US’s healthcare problems. I tend to be biased towards the latter, given my lack of faith in the ability of central organizations to solve the coordination, innovation, pricing, and customization challenges which markets are more adept at solving. With that said, anyone who is not a free-market fundamentalist is probably also aware of the coordination challenges that markets face (i.e. one of the reasons why we don’t trust the market to be entirely responsible for national defense or international treaties) and the blindness to equality/access concerns that markets can have.
From that perspective, I think the Obama plan does a relatively good job of balancing the two. After all, I can list at least two “market failures” that are abound in the American healthcare system:
That Obama is pushing for a regulated “insurance exchange” and a requirement that all individuals have health coverage is, to me, a step in the right direction to addressing these two issues. The devil is of course in the details, but the fact that Obama is leaning towards these provisions is very encouraging.
I am much less enthusiastic about the “public option” that has been thrown around because I don’t believe it manages the public/private divide very well. The theory is that the government will step in and provide coverage to individuals who are not happy with any of the options on the table with the hope that this “public option” will help “keep the insurance companies honest.” While the theory is appealing on the level that everyone would like to have an extra safety net which helps to prevent market failures, I think the “public option” idea is based on a flawed premise.
There are three possibilities that I can envision for the public option. The first is a world where the initiatives that Obama is proposing create a strong market for insurance. In that case, in the same way that the low prices in the used car market cause a self-fulfilling doom loop where they attract only bad cars (the “lemon problem”), the public option will doom itself to be a high cost, inefficient solution that attracts all the patients which insurance companies don’t want to cover (e.g. those with difficult pre-existing medical conditions).
The second and third possibility that I can see have the same outcome. Either Obama’s market initiatives fail to create a strong market for insurance or the a strong market is created, but to bolster the public option, the government heavily subsidizes the public option and protects it from competition from the private sector. In both cases, the result is that insurance companies are unable to compete with the government plan, resulting in the market for insurance becoming even less robust than it is today, effectively converting the health insurance market into a single-payer model whereby the government takes on all health care. I’ve discussed many reasons why this would be undesirable, but the two biggest ones that come to mind are governments being generally bad at innovation (due to central planning being notoriously bad at allocating resources between different uncertain technologies) and the politicization of the rationing of healthcare rather than relying on medical and personal factors.
In all three cases, the public option not only leads to undesirable costs, but distracts the government from the solution which should be implemented: creating a strong insurance market with good options for consumers and using subsidies/regulations to expand coverage. That’s the only solution that provides the coverage, the level of cost, and quality of care that we want.
The final thought that I had revolved around additional steps which I hope the Obama plan will eventually take. I outlined them in a previous post I made on healthcare policy, but they include two things:
It is certainly an exciting time for anyone interested in healthcare policy, and hopefully, we leave this process with a set of initiatives and proposals which make us all better off.
(Image credit – Dr. Obama) (Image credit – Flag + stethoscope) (Image credit – Public Option pin)